Following Secretary of State Tillerson’s clear warning of the potential for a first strike against North Korea this morning:
“I think it’s important to recognize that the political and diplomatic efforts of the past 20 years to bring North Korea to the point of denuclearization have failed,” Tillerson said. “Let me be very clear: the policy of strategic patience has ended. We are exploring a new range of security and diplomatic measures. All options are on the table,” Tillerson told a news conference in Seoul and added that any North Korean actions that threatened the South would be met with “an appropriate response.”
President Trump has tweet-chimed-in…
North Korea is behaving very badly. They have been “playing” the United States for years. China has done little to help!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 17, 2017
Stirring the pot at both ends, just as China relations were starting to heal a little (even with the THAAD deployment).
Meanwhile, as previewed one week ago, the odds of an unexpected North Korean WMD attack are rising.
According to the Predata-Beyond Parallel concultancy’s prediction model, there was a 43% chance of North Korean WMD activity taking place in the next 14 days (as of last Friday), while in the next 23 days, there is a 62% chance for North Korean WMD activity. Beyond Parallel defines WMD activity as nuclear tests and ballistic missile launches. A military response by the US now looks increasingly probable.